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MORTGAGE RATE FORECAST......BCREA


As the year ends, it's worth reflecting on how significantly the Canadian interest rate environment has changed in just twelve months. One year ago, the Canadian yield curve was its usual upward sloping shape, with markets expecting gradual rate increases by the Bank of Canada. Based partly on those expectations, Canadian mortgage rates were climbing. However, within 8 months the yield curve in Canada had inverted, bond yields tumbled, and Canadian mortgage rates were once again heading lower.


https://www.bcrea.bc.ca/economics/mortgage-rate-forecast/


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The New Housing Affordability "Crisis" will be Driven by Higher Mortgage Rates, Not Higher Homes Prices

A recent report by RBC Economic Research warned that housing affordability continues to worsen in Canada. The ownership costs for a home bought in the second quarter of 2018 now consume 53.9 per cent of a typical household’s income.


The RBC report claims that housing affordability has not been this bad in Canada since the early nineties. In large metropolitan areas that saw a rapid acceleration in housing prices, such as Vancouver and Toronto, housing carrying costs could claim upwards of 75 per cent of a typical household’s income.


https://vancouversun.com/real-estate/the-new-housing-affordability-crisis-will-be-driven-by-higher-mortgage-rates-not-higher-home-prices/wcm/0482078c-debb-4b93-b69f-ac607f77a258

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