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No "doom and gloom" in store for Canadian real estate – Royal LePage’s Soper

by Ephraim Vecina29 Jul 2020


Sustained market strength, subject to supply constraints, will be the predominant dynamic in the Canadian housing sector for the rest of the year, according to Royal LePage CEO Phil Soper and Sotheby’s Canada CEO Don Kottick.


In a joint interview with The Financial Post, the two executives highlighted the major role that housing inventory will play in the period immediately after the COVID-19 pandemic eases.

Soper said that home prices largely rely on the balance between supply and buyer activity.

“There are a lot of people who are looking to put roofs over their heads,” Soper said. “We just don’t see the number of homes for sale, the supply side of this, climbing to the point where home prices will collapse.”

Royal LePage’s latest predictions have placed annual growth by year-end at 2.5%.


https://www.canadianrealestatemagazine.ca/news/no-doom-and-gloom-in-store-for-canadian-real-estate--royal-lepages-soper-331927.aspx

MORTGAGE RATE FORECAST......BCREA


As the year ends, it's worth reflecting on how significantly the Canadian interest rate environment has changed in just twelve months. One year ago, the Canadian yield curve was its usual upward sloping shape, with markets expecting gradual rate increases by the Bank of Canada. Based partly on those expectations, Canadian mortgage rates were climbing. However, within 8 months the yield curve in Canada had inverted, bond yields tumbled, and Canadian mortgage rates were once again heading lower.


https://www.bcrea.bc.ca/economics/mortgage-rate-forecast/


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June 14, 2018, Vancouver, BC – New rules approved by the Superintendent of Real Estate (OSRE) to enhance consumer protection in the real estate industry come into effect June 15, 2018. The rules will be enforced by the Real Estate Council of BC and they will ensure that consumers have better information to make informed decisions, and that real estate professionals act with undivided loyalty to serve their clients’ best interests. Among other things, these rules will:

 

https://www.recbc.ca/wp-content/uploads/News_Release_June_14.pdf 

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Three months into B.C.’s experience with tighter mortgage-qualification rules, layered in with provincial real-estate tax changes, property markets are starting to shift.

However, parsing out the whether the provincial measures — the speculation tax on second homes, school surtax on expensive homes and raising the property transfer tax — are having a big, small or any impact on the housing market is an open question.

 

http://theprovince.com/business/real-estate/b-c-property-markets-starting-to-shift-after-tighter-mortgage-rules-tax-changes/wcm/5bdf1b26-6455-40a6-8c8a-597e5e1bfa9c 

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British Columbia’s new speculation tax on out-of-province buyers will likely convince a wave of owners to sell their vacation properties, pushing down home prices, said a forecast from Royal LePage.

 

By the end of September, the real estate company is expecting the average price of a recreational home in B.C. to reach $531,333, a 2.8 per cent drop from last year’s average of $546,444.

 

Under B.C.’s speculation regulations, owners outside the province will be taxed 0.5 per cent this year, but next year will see the rate climb to 2 per cent for foreign investors and 1 per cent for Canadian citizens and permanent residents not living in B.C. but owning properties in the province.

 

http://vancouversun.com/pmn/news-pmn/canada-news-pmn/b-c-housing-tax-to-cause-vacation-property-price-dip-royal-lepage-forecast/wcm/19e835ea-80ab-48d1-8525-0e596516cf25 

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